It was simply too
big of a market to ignore. A few months back, I noted Goldman Sachs
estimates that electronic cigarettes would become a $1 billion industry in a
few years and Altria was the only major tobacco company that did have an
electronic loosey to call its own. I thought it was simply too lucrative an
opportunity for the Marlboro Man to pass up and yesterday the tobacco giant
confirmed it was indeed launching its MarkTen brand of e-cig in August through
its NuMark subsidiary.
While the FDA wants
to get its fingers into regulating them, saying their ability to help users
quit smoking are unproven, I don't think that's the attraction of an e-cig from
a smoker's point of view.
The government has
caused smokers to be treated like pariahs and has taxed the bejesus out of
tobacco such that a pack of smokes these days costs on average $5.51. In some
states like New York, the price can run as high as $12 a pack, and as my
Foolish colleague Selena Maranjian noted, that means some folks can spend a
quarter of their annual income on cigarettes.
In comparison, an
e-cig costs about $10 and a refill pack from Njoy, one of the product's first
manufacturers, runs about $22, but is equivalent to a carton of cigarettes.
That's a significant savings for a smoker, along with the added benefit that
you don't get the 4,000 or so chemicals that are found in a regular cigarette,
but, more importantly, none of the tar associated with them. It's the tar that
kills you.
Designed to look and
feel like a real cigarette, e-cigs produce a vapor, not smoke. Though there's a
cigarette-like taste for the smoker, there's no cigarette smell.
With tobacco sales
falling, all of Altria's major rivals have an e-cig product on the market
already or have one coming to market soon. Lorillard is now one of
the leading e-cig manufacturers, having gotten into the business last year
after acquiring blu eCigs for $135 million. It generated $57 million in sales
in the first quarter and has more than 40% market share.
Because President
Obama wants to hike cigarette taxes yet again, almost doubling the excise tax
paid to $1.95 per pack, it's clear cigarette makers need to find an alternative
source of income. Reynolds American , also late to the game, will launch
its Vuse brand next month.
Wells Fargo
says it's possible e-cig sales could surpass those of regular cigarettes over
the next decade, which makes it understandable why Altria wants in. It also
explains why the FDA wants to control the market since government coffers at
all levels rely heavily on the taxes they levy on tobacco. Anything that
diminishes their take causes them to tremble with fear.
Whatever regulation
does ultimately get imposed, one big change is that it won't be hammered out in
some smoke-filled back room. Rather, it may be one that's filled with vapor.
Altria has been the
best-performing stock of the past 50 years, but as the number of smokers in the
U.S. continues to steadily decline, is Altria still a buy today? To find out
whether everyone's love-to-hate dividend stock is a savvy investment choice or
a hazard to your portfolio, simply click here now for access to The Motley
Fool's premium research report on the company.
Article Credit: www.dailyfinance.com

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